Europe: Betting the house on red

The current crisis in Ukraine is the most unnerving event since the Cuban Missile Crisis in 1962 but the potential outcome will be devasting if Europe miscalculates – which I contend they are. The current calculation being made by EU nations particularly and NATO more generally, is that if they act against Russia in Ukraine, they risk a further escalation of hostilities on their territories. There is a cost to be paid in this conflict and these states must consider whether appeasement now removes the possibility for wider conflict or if it simply shift’s the timeline?

No one knows Putin’s end game, but it will surely come at a high cost to Europe and even more so to Ukraine. Putin objectives give him two options: …